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The Independent : 'Kandahar is lost. A rivalry between America and Europe∫' Nelofer Pazira

Article lié :

Lambrechts Francis

  21/08/2006

Return to Kandahar: The Taliban threat. http://news.independent.co.uk/world/asia/article1220617.ece
Nelofer Pazira, the journalist who starred in the film ‘Kandahar’, has gone back to the southern Afghan city for the first time in four years.

Fear permeates Kandahar. ... There is no war, no shooting, no rockets. At least not yet, although the Taliban wave is reconquering Afghanistan, and fighting is spreading through Kandahar province.
... “The Americans abandoned Afghanistan,” says Mr Hikmat. “When they were around, people were making money. The Taliban had run away but they were not defeated and the Americans knew that too. Yet the US decreased the number of its troops.”
Then it was announced Nato would replace the US forces, a decision which encouraged the Taliban. People in Kandahar talk about a power vacuum of which the Taliban took full advantage. They had five years to organise and returned in force.
“Now the Taliban are everywhere,” says Alia, a nurse in Kandahar’s Polyclinic Hospital.

... Where is all this power and money coming from? A member of a religious group, Wakil Sahib, accuses neigbouring Pakistan. “They don’t want Afghanistan to be free and economically independent,” he says. “They want to keep Afghanistan as their market.

... The educated classes in Kandahar also tend to blame the United States. “The Americans realised that Afghanistan held no economic benefit for them so they decided to ignore the country despite all their promises,” says Rafi, an unemployed engineer. “After the US, the responsibility lies on our own government, which has also failed.
“But I wonder if the war in Afghanistan is less about the Taliban and Pakistan, and more about the rivalry between America and Europe.

... Under the American administration, “warlordism” and poppy cultivation soared. Kandahar owed its new wealth in part to drug money. (NB : rappelons que l’Iran est la première victime de la cocaine malgré sa lutte acharnée contre les traffiquants afghans ... une arme de la ‘guerre du bien’ de Bush) But with the shift from US to Nato forces, there came a “War on drugs” and Nato launched a relentless campaign to stop poppy cultivation. Using Afghan National Police and Afghan National Army, the Canadians and the British started to destroy the poppy fields, a policy which faced opposition from both the traffickers and the farmers. The first casualty was the power supply.
“When Nato took over, the electricity disappeared,” says Ahmedallah.

... To continue the drug production, the traffickers as well as the farmers welcomed the Taliban ... “If tomorrow the British and Canadians announced that the growing of poppies was allowed, the people wouldn’t let the Taliban stay in the country,” says Wali.

... If the Americans leave, Kandahar will fall in a week. That’s what people in the city’s bazaar say - and they are the ones who know the Taliban and al-Qa’ida.

... No Nato patrol can pass through here. “They are too scared to come to this area,” says my guide Ahmedallah. So the Taliban don’t attack the market because there are no foreigners - or perhaps, as the Kandaharis claim, because this place is their nest. Kandahar is lost.

Is this a Great Country or What∫

Article lié :

LoveMeAll

  21/08/2006

Jessie Jackson has added former Chicago democratic congressman Mel Reynolds to Rainbow / PUSH Coalition’s payroll. Reynolds was among the 176 criminals excused in President Clinton’s last-minute forgiveness spree.
Reynolds received a commutation of his six-and-a- half-year federal sentence for 15 convictions of wire fraud, bank fraud and lies to the Federal Election Commission. He is more notorious; however, for concurrently serving five years for sleeping with an underage campaign volunteer.

This is a first in American politics: An ex-congressman who had sex with a subordinate, won clemency from a president who had sex with a subordinate then was hired by a clergyman who had sex with a subordinate.

His new job? Youth counselor.

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JSF : des compléments aux remplaçants

Article lié : JSF : des compléments aux remplaçants

Jean-Paul de Beauchêne

  20/08/2006

Nous en aviona parlé à Bruxelles dans le temps. J’avais écrit à qui de droit que le JSF était l’avion de la Revolution in military affairs (RMA): les pilotes de la Super-Nation port-industrielle dans les F22, loin du front, avec tous les senseurs et le C3, les pilotes des nations industrielles européennes au contact dans des JSF économiques pauvres en senseurs et guidés par les F22. Sous la pression des européens la définition du JSF a progressivement gagné (un peu) en autonomie. On semble, d’après votre article, à revenir à la vision initiale…
Cordialement

Le déclinisme...

Article lié :

FrenchFrogger

  20/08/2006

http://www.air-defense.net/forum/viewtopic.php?id=5486

Voici un exemple de déclinisme: insulter son pays, le traiter de moins que rien, d’insignifiant, de honteux, de pays d’assistés et de branleurs, puis citer des torchons anglos-saxons et se réclamer du gaullisme pour appuyer son argumentation. Avec un titre tapageur: “La France est nue”

'Hezbollah model' waiting to emerge in Iraq

Article lié :

Lambrechts Francis

  20/08/2006

This summer former US ambassador Peter Galbraith released a groundbreaking book called “The End of Iraq: How American Incompetence Created a War Without End.”

... Iraq and its people have probably been the greatest losers in the Israeli war with Hezbollah. For a month, the world’s attention was completely fixated on Israel, Lebanon and Hezbollah.

... A month later, Iraq is at civil war. Just look at the figures. In July, the number of Iraqis killed in sectarian violence ... was a staggering 3,438 - two times the number of Lebanese civilians killed during the 30 days of daily air raids by Israel, and more than 100 deaths a day.

... For two years now the Americans have been denying that Iraq is on the verge of civil war. Last week, however, two US generals spoke to Congress about the situation in Iraq. And they spoke about civil war. ***
... This was also confirmed in a cable sent from William Patey, the outgoing British ambassador to Iraq ... He added: “Even the lowered expectation of President Bush for Iraq - a government that can sustain itself, defend itself, and govern itself and is an ally in the war on terror - must remain in doubt.”

... Amid all these problems, there is the danger of the “Hezbollah model” being adopted in Iraq. Muqtada, who has been a nightmare for the Americans since they invaded, has all the credentials to create such an organization in Iraq, modeling himself after Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. ... something that the Americans wish to avoid at any cost.

... And with Iraq in such civil strife, it could in all likelihood become a battleground for the entire Persian and Arab neighborhood. The Saudis would support the Sunnis. Iran - and Lebanon’s Hezbollah - would support the Shi’ites.

... The United States would be trapped in the middle. ... The United States stands in a helpless situation. If only Bush had had a better idea of Sunnis and Shi’ites before he invaded.

“Misunderestimating’ Bush’s Iraq” By Sami Moubayed, a Syrian political analyst.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HH19Ak01.html

Pétrole irakien

Article lié : La destruction “à l’américaine” de l’Irak se poursuit…

HECTOR J.-J.

  20/08/2006

Question:Les puits de pétrole irakien sont-ils en fonction?Combien de barils de brut sont-ils extraits chaque jour,par qui et pour le compte de qui,infin à qui ce brut est-il vendu?
Un article là-dessus serait bienvenu.
Merci
JJH

De l'efficacité prodigieuse des roquettes du Hezbollah

Article lié :

Fab

  20/08/2006

Faisant le bilan des 33 jours de guerre, le site de l’ambassade d’Israël en France donne les chiffres suivants :

-3970 roquettes et missiles tombés sur Israël, dont 901 en zone urbaine.

Dégâts matériels :

-12.000 maisons sont détruites
-1700 voitures détruites
-600 ateliers détruits
-100 usines détruites
-750.000 arbres brûlés

(Tous ces chiffres sont visibles sur : http://paris1.mfa.gov.il/mfm/web/main/document.asp?DocumentID=100069&MissionID=31 )

En moyenne, chaque roquette a donc détruit / brûlé :

3 maisons + 0,43 voitures + quelques pouillèmes d’ateliers et d’usines et ... 189 arbres !

Compte tenu du manque de précision des armes en question, dépourvues d’un système de guidage, dont plusieurs se sont écrasées sans faire de dégâts, et de leur relative faible puissance (charge militaire de l’ordre de 40 kg), les chiffres annoncés semblent pour le moins surprenants !

(Pour rendre à César ce qui appartient à César, je me dois de préciser que j’ai repris cette analyse du site http://membres.lycos.fr/wotraceafg/liban_2.htm, l’auteur de ce texte obtenant toutefois des valeurs numériques différentes des miennes, apparemment parce qu’il fait le distinguo entre les roquettes tombées en site urbain et celles tombées en site rural)

'crap' ne serait il pas révélateur d'un langage codé ∫

Article lié : Le mot de Prescott pour s’évader du triple langage

Lambrechts Francis

  19/08/2006

‘crap’ est un mot à l’extrême du spectre verbal, l’autre extrémité serait ‘angélique” par exemple.

Nous sommes donc bien dans le discours ‘Bushien’ du bien et du mal, ce langage binaire, cette camisole conceptuelle, le vaste éventail du langage raccourcis à ce noeud gordien qui ne peut se trancher que par l’épée. L’empereur ne peut qu’empirer.

L’erreur du ‘crap concept’ c’est de rentrer dans l’univers de Bush, de s’enfermer ainsi dans sa cage “Murdochienne” : c’est tout le contraire de l’histoire génératrice de mots comme ‘civiliser’, ‘progrès’ ou ‘doutes’ qui calment les passions pour enfanter l’humanité.
Je ne vois pas de ‘dimension politique nouvelle’ dans cet échange de boulets moyen-ageux ... où est la ‘G4G’ révolutionnant ausi ce monde politique, déjà la ‘restauration’ ?

Les fumées de ces bombardes masquent un tsunami discret, massif, encore à l’horizon mais il me semble que la mer se retire. 

Qui aurait cru, par exemple, qu’il y aurait en 2006 plus d’obèses dans le monde que de gens affamés , que le pétrole du Vénézuéla dépasserait celui d’Arabie Saoudite , que ce monde est ‘fini’ notamment dans ses ressources (alors que la productivité agricole a explosé) , que le langage deviendrait lumière sur une toile électronique et bientôt téléportation , que la physique deviendrait une partie de dés quantiques ( et pire que la virtualisation on a perdu simplement plus de 80% de la matière ) , qu’on visualiserait la source de la pensée de Socrate sur un écran jusquà prendre l’image pour la réalité ( jusqu’à fumer la pipe du tableau de Magritte) , qu’en 60 ans on monterait du cheval à la Lune , que les continents échangeraient leurs populations comme au temps de ‘Lucie’ , que l’europe avec la chine et le japon renverseraient en un éclair la millénaire pyramide des âges pour circuler en chaise roulante sur des autoroutes vides et aussi vite devenues antiques , que le climat noierait ou ensablerait des pays entiers comme de vulgaires tombeaux pharaoniques , que les espèces s’éteindraient au rythme accéléré du crépuscule , que notre civilisation mourrait comme les autres ( ce que le télé-évangéliste Bush promeut tout de suite avec ‘Armagedon’ ) , etc.

Dans cet ‘instant géologique’ nos esprits momifiés ne voyent, incrédules et fascinés, que la plongée titanique du dernier empire : interloqués par les cris des noyés ... ‘crap’ est donc leur ‘code Morse’ pour SOS.

Bien entendu je partage tout à fait vos analyses.

Article lié : Des F-14 sur le pont du porte-avions, en croisière dans le Golfe Persique…

andrei

  19/08/2006

quel porte avion? et la photo elle est ou?

Surfusion

Article lié : L’axe du Bien va mal

BS

  19/08/2006

C’est l’état qui, je pense, décrit le mieux “l’axe du Bien”. Tous les paramètres pointent vers une évolution catastrophique du système mais son inertie est telle que rien ne se produit. Jusqu’au moment, imprévisible et imprédictible, où la nature des choses reprend brutalement son orientation naturelle. Comme de l’eau liquide en dessous de la température de congélation, qui sous l’impulsion d’un évènement insignifiant, gèle en masse.

Je pense ainsi que l’effondrement de l’“Empire du Bien” peut se produire du jour au lendemain, sous la pression d’un évènement qui peut paraitre anodain. L’effondrement de l’URSS est me semble-t-il un exellent exemple de ce phénomène.

Craig Murray sur 8/10 : "Be sceptical. Be very, very sceptical"

Article lié :

bituur esztreym

  18/08/2006

Craig Murray, l’ambassadeur britannique qui a dénoncé les tortures ouzbeks faisant partie de la guerre contre la terreur, a vraiment décidé de ne pas se taire ; il a maintenant un blog, sur lequel il analyse 8/10 et donne son avis : “soyez sceptiques. Soyez très, très sceptiques”.

lisez notamment ce qu’il nous apprend sur Reid. intéressant…

August 14, 2006 The UK Terror plot: what’s really going on?
http://www.craigmurray.co.uk/archives/2006/08/the_uk_terror_p.html

I have been reading very carefully through all the Sunday newspapers to try and analyse the truth from all the scores of pages claiming to detail the so-called bomb plot. Unlike the great herd of so-called security experts doing the media analysis, I have the advantage of having had the very highest security clearances myself, having done a huge amount of professional intelligence analysis, and having been inside the spin machine.

So this, I believe, is the true story.

None of the alleged terrorists had made a bomb. None had bought a plane ticket. Many did not even have passports, which given the efficiency of the UK Passport Agency would mean they couldn’t be a plane bomber for quite some time.

In the absence of bombs and airline tickets, and in many cases passports, it could be pretty difficult to convince a jury beyond reasonable doubt that individuals intended to go through with suicide bombings, whatever rash stuff they may have bragged in internet chat rooms.

What is more, many of those arrested had been under surveillance for over a year - like thousands of other British Muslims. And not just Muslims. Like me. Nothing from that surveillance had indicated the need for early arrests.

Then an interrogation in Pakistan revealed the details of this amazing plot to blow up multiple planes - which, rather extraordinarily, had not turned up in a year of surveillance. Of course, the interrogators of the Pakistani dictator have their ways of making people sing like canaries. As I witnessed in Uzbekistan, you can get the most extraordinary information this way. Trouble is it always tends to give the interrogators all they might want, and more, in a desperate effort to stop or avert torture. What it doesn’t give is the truth.

The gentleman being “interrogated” had fled the UK after being wanted for questioning over the murder of his uncle some years ago. That might be felt to cast some doubt on his reliability. It might also be felt that factors other than political ones might be at play within these relationships. Much is also being made of large transfers of money outside the formal economy. Not in fact too unusual in the British Muslim community, but if this activity is criminal, there are many possibilities that have nothing to do with terrorism.

We then have the extraordinary question of Bush and Blair discussing the possible arrests over the weekend. Why? I think the answer to that is plain. Both in desperate domestic political trouble, they longed for “Another 9/11”. The intelligence from Pakistan, however dodgy, gave them a new 9/11 they could sell to the media. The media has bought, wholesale, all the rubbish they have been shovelled.

We then have the appalling political propaganda of John Reid, Home Secretary, making a speech warning us all of the dreadful evil threatening us and complaining that “Some people don’t get” the need to abandon all our traditional liberties. He then went on, according to his own propaganda machine, to stay up all night and minutely direct the arrests. There could be no clearer evidence that our Police are now just a political tool. Like all the best nasty regimes, the knock on the door came in the middle of the night, at 2.30am. Those arrested included a mother with a six week old baby.

For those who don’t know, it is worth introducing Reid. A hardened Stalinist with a long term reputation for personal violence, at Stirling Univeristy he was the Communist Party’s “Enforcer”, (in days when the Communist Party ran Stirling University Students’ Union, which it should not be forgotten was a business with a very substantial cash turnover). Reid was sent to beat up those who deviated from the Party line.

We will now never know if any of those arrested would have gone on to make a bomb or buy a plane ticket. Most of them do not fit the “Loner” profile you would expect - a tiny percentage of suicide bombers have happy marriages and young children. As they were all under surveillance, and certainly would have been on airport watch lists, there could have been little danger in letting them proceed closer to maturity - that is certainly what we would have done with the IRA.

In all of this, the one thing of which I am certain is that the timing is deeply political. This is more propaganda than plot. Of the over one thousand British Muslims arrested under anti-terrorist legislation, only twelve per cent are ever charged with anything. That is simply harrassment of Muslims on an appalling scale. Of those charged, 80% are acquitted. Most of the very few - just over two per cent of arrests - who are convicted, are not convicted of anything to do terrorism, but of some minor offence the Police happened upon while trawling through the wreck of the lives they had shattered.

Be sceptical. Be very, very sceptical.

Haaretz : The war's surprises. By Ze'ev Schiff

Article lié : La tactique des relations publiques de Tsahal, — et 33 soldats tués

Lambrechts Francis

  18/08/2006

In its second Lebanon war, Israel was surprised by Hezbollah’s anti-tank weapons and the way they used them. The Israel Defense Forces was similarly surprised on the Egyptian front in the Yom Kippur War. At the time, we knew the Arab armies had Russian-made Sagger anti-tank guided missiles, but we did not understand the significance of the mass deployment of these missiles nor how it would affect the IDF’s Armored Corps. On the first night of the war, the IDF lost 150 tanks.

This is what happened in the war against Hezbollah. We knew the organization had advanced anti-tank rockets; the IDF’s Military Intelligence even acquired one. We also understood that Hezbollah was positioning anti-tank units; however, we failed to understand the significance of the mass deployment of these weapons.

The result: Anti-tank weapons caused most of the IDF casualties in the war - nearly all the Armored Corps’ casualties and many from the infantry units. More infantry soldiers were killed by anti-tank weapons than in hand-to-hand combat. Many of the infantry soldiers who lost their lives because of anti-tank weapons entered houses in the villages; the rockets penetrated the walls, killing them.
 
Missiles have always surprised the IDF. A few months after the June 1967 Six-Day War, Israel was surprised by a Russian-made “Styx” SS-N-2C missile that sank an Israel Navy destroyer, the INS Eilat, causing dozens of crew to drown. The Israel Navy and the Rafael Armament Development Authority probed the problem, arriving at a solution that helped the navy win the Yom Kippur War despite the dozens of similar missiles that were fired at its ships.

In the Yom Kippur War, the Israel Air Force suffered a serious setback because of various Russian-made anti-aircraft missiles. For years afterwards, the IAF made every effort to find operational solutions to this problem. The result could be seen in the Lebanon War of 1982 when the IAF, under Major General David Ivry’s command, knocked out 19 anti-aircraft missile batteries in Lebanon’s Bekaa within hours. Syria and the Soviet Union, the missile’s manufacturer, were dumbfounded.

In the Yom Kippur War, anti-tank rockets surprised the IDF’s Armored Corps. Since then, no substantive solution has been found for that problem although the Merkava offers high survivability for the crew of a tank that has been hit. Before the last war, Israel was surprised by its inability - despite its advanced technology - to effectively deal with the primitive Qassam rockets the Palestinians were firing. Prior to the war, MI warned the IAF that the latter would not be able to effectively deal with all the rockets. And that is what happened when Israel had to handle even simpler ones.

This time, the Israel Navy was surprised by a single Chinese-made C-802 Silkworm shore-to-ship cruise missile, which neutralized the navy’s flagship, the INS Hanit. According to some reports, an Iranian team fired the missile.

Hezbollah used seven different types of rockets in the war - four of them the most advanced available and all produced by Russia and sold to Syria. The most advanced rockets can penetrate steel armor of 70-centimeter to 1.2-meter thickness. After the armor has been pierced, a second warhead explodes inside the tank. MI acquired one of these rockets and understood that Hezbollah was positioning anti-tank units. However, the IDF was inadequately prepared for this development.

Four Israeli tanks hit large landmines. Three of the tanks, which lacked underbelly protective armor, lost all 12 crew members. The fourth had underbelly protective armor; of its six crew members, only one died.

Anti-tank missiles hit 46 tanks and 14 other armored vehicles. In all these attacks, the tanks sustained only 15 armor penetrations while the other armored vehicles sustained five, with 20 soldiers killed, 15 of them tank crew members. Another two Armored Corps soldiers, whose bodies were exposed, were killed. In another location, Wadi Salouki, Hezbollah carried out a successful anti-tank ambush, hitting 11 tanks. Missiles penetrated the armor of three tanks; in two of them, seven Armored Corps soldiers were killed. Two of the other tanks were immobilized.

The conclusions from this war have yet to be drawn, and we must remember that the enemy draws its own conclusions as well.

Figaro : Bush délègue le Proche-Orient à Condoleezza Rice. G.Faure

Article lié :

Lambrechts Francis

  18/08/2006

Avec 62% d’opinions positives dans le dernier sondage CNN, Rice est la personnalité la plus populaire de l’équipe Bush. Seuls 43% des Américains approuvent l’attitude de George Bush dans le conflit entre Israël et le Hezbollah, mais 59% d’entre eux disent avoir confiance en Condoleezza Rice, qui applique pourtant fidèlement la politique de son patron.

... Alors qu’elle a défendu l’attaque «préemptive» contre l’Irak en 2003 avec autant de ferveur que Bush, Rumsfeld ou Cheney, l’opinion dominante ne lui en fait pas porter la responsabilité.

*** absurdités, paradoxes, contradictions : une explication à la lumière du virtualisme ? ( comme les mouvements aléatoires, ‘browniens’, expliqués par Einstein )

9/11 : un complot ∫

Article lié :

Flesch Emmanuel

  18/08/2006

Bonjour,
Je n’ai pas trouvé d’article sur votre site parlant du film “Loose chance 2”, paru sur le net en février 2006 et en VF début mars. Ce film est un chef d’oeuvre d’investigation, la seconde version d’un film élaboré sur plusieurs années.
Ayant passé beaucoup de temps à démèler les différentes versions de la théorie du complot sur internet, je pense que ce film de 1h20 est le plus pertinent.
Je vous invite chaudement à le visionner si vous ne l’avez pas déjà fait, et éventuellement à le commenter en ligne. (visible sur google vidéo notament).
J’ai commencé à m’intéresser par hasard à ces théories, avec beaucoup de réticense… mais là, plus de doutes, la version officielle de 9/11 se désintègre comme le vol 77 dans le Pentagone.
PS : pour les sceptiques : accrochez vos ceintures !

demande d'infos

Article lié : La tactique des relations publiques de Tsahal, — et 33 soldats tués

CHIBOLET Léon

  18/08/2006

Pourriez-vous me donner des informations sur le nombre de blindés Merkaba qui ont été détruits ou endommagés pendant les 34 jours d’affrontements au Liban. Uri Avnery parle de plus d’une douzaine,
quant à la rubrique “heure par heure du Nvelle Obs
elle rapporte pour le mardi 15 août 18h55 “Les forces israéliennes commencent à retirer du Sud-Liban une cinquantaine de blindés endommagés lors des combats avec le Hezbollah, étape indispensable au déploiement de l’armée libanaise dans la région.
A-t-on des images de ces rapatriements de chars détruits ou endommagés? Je suppose qu’ils ont être faits de nuit, en tout cas le mieux caché possible! Si l’info concernant une cinquantaine de chars est vrai, alors il ne faut pas parler de défaite mais de déroute. A vérifier, bien sûr!
  Un point important relevé dans la presse israélienne, il me semble. Un aspect important de la tactique du Hezbollah est de faire venir les israéliens sur le terrain, de les amener à faire des concentrations de chars et véhicules blindés sur ces petites routes, concentrations de troupes aussi puis une fois dans la nasse (sur les berges du Litani, par exemple) de les prendre sous le feu de leurs armes, entre autre des rockets. C’est là sans doute l’une des erreurs majeures du
général Haloutz, la der des der offensive avant le cessez-le-feu a amené un véritable embouteillage de Merkaba et autres engins sur une bande de 3 à 5 KM de large. Cela aurait pu être une catastrophe; mais n’a-t-elle pas eu lieu?
  En tout cas le cessez-le-feu était bienvenu, il me semble. D’où aussi l’impatience et la vitesse à laquelle les blindés ont disparu aussi vite qu’ils étaient rentrés.