michel brillaud
21/09/2009
Mr Obama va devoir faire preuve de son éloquence habituelle pour maquiller en victoire les concessions qu’il a fait au russes dans le cas du BDME ou qu’il fera, n’en doutons pas, aux iraniens dans l’affaire du nucléaire iranien. Il lui faudrait un Talleyrand à ses cotés !
Les américains sont-ils aptes à abandonner leur ” empire ” avec la même élégance détachée que les britanniques? J’en doute ... Mr Obama va finir par être au mieux ” carterisé ” ou, au pire, sera écarté manu militari du pouvoir selon des modalités qu’il reste à définir ( procédure d’empeachment ou assassinat pur et simple )
Dedef
21/09/2009
Par Kaveh L. Afrasiabi
Asia Times Online, le 17 septembre 2009
article original : “Iran bullish ahead of nuclear talks”
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Par M K Bhadrakumar
Asia Times Online, le 19 septembre 2009
article original : “Obama drops a missile bombshell”
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Exocet
19/09/2009
Le gargantuesque personnage qu’est Rogozine qui manie le verbage de la preuve historique (..) aussi bien qu’un sous secrétaire de préfecture en territoire taliban et qui à force scruter..
http://www.politiqueinternationale.com/revue/read.php?id_revue=25&id=294&content=synopsis
..les travées obscures du Kremlin , doit commencer à en irriter certains au sein de la hiérarchie trés fermée des holigarques Russes ( le désordre US ferait il tache d’huile par résonnance ..?) .A Force de fréquenter les sécacles et les petits fours de l’Otan , il pourrait presque en prendre les “boursouflures” le rogozine..
Lavrov s’est empresser de corriger le tir (ou de fesser l’incorrigible hiérarque boursouflé par tant de faire valoir…)
http://fr.rian.ru/world/20090917/123145479.html
Anonime
19/09/2009
C’est dommage, un site tellement intérressant, et surtout tellement utile pour connaitre une interprétation européenne de la crise.
Pas tout le monde a les moyens de payer à chaque fois qu’on veut lire un article. On comprend que vous devez vivre et qu’administrer un site représente beaucoup de travail. Mais enfin, l’information maintenant est réservée a ceux qui en ont les moyens.
C’est vraiment dommage. De toute facon, félicitation.
Exocet
18/09/2009
Allez savoir dans quel coin du paradis .. finira de se propager la promotion inconnue de feu BMDE.Obama est parvenu de facon trés habile( excellent timing!) à refiler le bébé Iranien (une sémantique à l’opacité virale qui plait tant aux anciens néo cons encore en activités et autres crypto communistes blanchis par la réversibilité du temps et de l’ennemi biologique ....) et l’eau du bain..( ou néo cons et autres crypto communistes inclus pourront faire trempette en toute hâte..) aux Russes . Les Russes( ne nous faisons pas d’illusions sur la volonté collective des européens..) se retrouvent donc le cul entre deux chaises . Cela n’est pas trés consensuel comme position bancale, !
Ilker de Paris
18/09/2009
A supposer qu’il est réellement voulu changer des choses aux Etats-Unis, l’erreur d’Obama c’est d’avoir été trop consensuel, il s’est fait avoir.
S’il avait agit au début quand tout lui été acquis, comme si on sortait d’une méga-catastrophe et qu’il était le Messie, il y aurait eu moins de résistance à ses politiques de changements, aujourd’hui on attend qu’il bouge le petit doigt pour le charger de tous les maux, l’heure où on l’accusera d’être un “Musulman islamiste” qui veut liquider les Etats-Unis ou de “Nègre” inculte qui ne comprend rien à la politique n’est pas loin. Hormis s’il se blanchi la peau, comme le regretté, et qu’il adopte le style W.
Exocet
17/09/2009
http://fr.rian.ru/world/20090917/123148443.html
How’s tricks?
Ni ANDO
17/09/2009
C’est bien l’illustration que le contexte actuel est particulièrement mouvant, sans direction définie, avec des changements de cap tous les 4 mois et des positions affichées qui ne cessent de se contredire. Un tel état de confusion de la part d’une puissance nucléaire de cette taille est très inquiétant. Les forces conventionnelles sont certes hors d’état d’ouvrir un troisième front, mais il reste la composante nucléaire (la maîtrise absolue de missiles de croisière porteurs de charges). La crainte c’est qu’une réaction brutale et pratiquement imprevue n’émerge de cette confusion dés lors qu’elle se muerait en chaos.
Taurus Scorpio
17/09/2009
Ilker de Paris
16/09/2009
Avec la crise financière on a clairement la réalité du système actuel qui montre qu’au delà des apparences (nécessairement bonnes, vertueuses etc) c’est plutôt pourri, magouilleur, voleur, sans règles, destructeur, d’une cupidité barbare (ce n’est pas la peine d’aller en Afghanistan chercher des barbares et ainsi nous rassurer sur la supériorité de notre modèle, des barbares y en a un tas dans nos sociétés).
En ne réformant pas un tel système, même si par aveuglement, bêtise on pouvait croire à sa vertu, on montre par ailleurs qu’on ne tend pas vers ce qui est vrai, c’est-à-dire que le système est pourri à la base.
Cette situation finie de discréditer le “système” qui aura de plus en plus de mal à légitimer ses “aventures” expéditionnaires, les massacres etc et on sait qu’en démocratie la légitimité donc la vertu, même en apparence, est une condition indispensable pour agir à sa guise - hormis le fait qu’on sorte de la démocratie, si jamais nous y étions vraiment entrés et que l’on se retrouve dans une espèce de système sans avenir, pourri et fasciste dont on voit des signes un peu partout, y a pas à dire le Mal sait y faire.
Un article rare(...) sur la déshumanisation dans le monde du travail : http://www.lemonde.fr/societe/article/2009/09/16/si-on-ne-repense-pas-le-travail-il-faut-s-attendre-a-pire-que-des-suicides_1241431_3224_1.html
Exocet
16/09/2009
Votre raisonnement brillant qui part(ait) d’un point de vue discordant du modele prêt à penser “faith based ” cher au tropisme ideologique néo cons et autres troupeaux de béliers MSN aveuglés par des effets secondaires de type homogénéisant ,tend à renforcer la perception “faith based” de projection de la puissance (aux réalités indiscernables du Faith based .) auquel vous essayé malgré tout vous même d’y échapper tout en vous y accrochant à ses basques .De ce point de vue c’est quasi sans à coups (lisse presque)idéologique par l’absolu.. mais l’effet d’employer en vue plongeante le déficit de la puissance par des contractions globalisantes est bizzare chez vous !Comme si d’un autre côté vous en prenez les mêmes défauts qui caractérisent l’impatience idéologique .. ,à force de honnir tout ce qui à trait à la puissance (américaniste en l’occurence) tout en contribuant à exploiter celle ci à diverses fins(...)C’est justement ces fins (ambitionnant un systéme défragmenté..) qui ne sont pas claires par définition chez vous “dedéfensa”..sinon à quoi bon de telles projections intraitables sur les moeurs américanistes? Ou est ce L’intuition qui se fait la malle ..?..CQFD. Et bonne continuation Océanique..
CMLFdA
16/09/2009
Joint FR UK Summit Declaration: Defence and Security (excerpt)
INDUSTRIAL COOPERATION
France and the UK are the two largest European investors in defence. We will continue to broaden and deepen our defence industrial co-operation, including through the European Defence Agency (EDA) and EU Capability Development Plan in the following areas:
—complex weapons, through the Scalp/Storm Shadow enhancement programme;
—development of a new Future Anti Surface Missile/Anti-Navire Léger;
—preparation together of the next generation of military communications satellites, including signature of a Statement of Intent;
—acceleration of armament procurement and improvement of equipment to answer urgent operational requirements for our Armed Forces, including signature of a Statement of Intent;
—foster regular exchanges on lessons learned and exchanges of personel between the two procurement organizations;
—in the mid to long-term, assess the scope for collaboration on Unmanned Air Vehicles (ISTAR and UCAS Combat system), by undertaking a detailed joint study to map out the key elements of any collaborative programmes and establishing concrete discussions between our industries.
It is our common and strategic interest to sustain and develop industrial and technological skills in Europe. Research and technology (R&T) is critical and the UK and France play a leading role in Europe in investing in this area.
To this end:
—we support the objective to increase R&T investment in 2010.
—we are determined to support innovation and expertise through appropriate EDA initiatives.
—we will facilitate cross-investment and identify appropriate rules for the control of exports and exchange of classified data.
We reiterate our full support to the Anglo-French High Level Working Group on defence acquisition. This group is the right vehicle to propose joint projects, innovative solutions and foster dialogue to develop defence capabilities. It is also looking at how jointly we can facilitate bilateral cross-channel and wider business for companies operating both in the UK and France through more flexible and coordinated operation of national export licensing systems.
France and the United Kingdom are also committed to finding a positive outcome for the renegotiation of the A400M programme. The A400M will meet the capability needs of its client countries’ armed forces and offer outstanding performance. The principle behind this renegotiation is that the company bear the consequences of the programme delays and contribute to compensating for the resulting capability deficit.
The two governments are open, on the basis of these principles, to amendments allowing the pursuit of the programme under reasonable conditions. (end of excerpt)
( NOTE: The joint position described above, which stipulates that Airbus Military must bear the consequences of the delays to the A400M program, and contribute to compensating for the resulting capability deficit, is a major departure from the position agreed between France and Germany in early June.
That agreement, also backed by Spain, would have allowed Airbus and its corporate parent, EADS, to avoid paying most of the contractual penalties for which it was liable.)
CMLFdA
16/09/2009
Dedef
16/09/2009
‘Big power’ Brazil stands by Iran, Venezuela: Lula
by Staff Writers Brasilia
(AFP) Sept 3, 2009
http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/Big_power_Brazil_stands_by_Iran_Venezuela_Lula_999.html
Brazil is poised to become one of the 21st century’s great powers, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva told AFP, as he fended off international criticism of its role as a “conciliator” in dealings with Iran and Venezuela.
The future of what is already Latin America’s biggest economy, with its vast new oil discoveries, rapidly developing industrial base and bulk of the Amazon forest, is secure, he said in an exclusive interview on Wednesday in his official residence.
“I don’t know if I’ll be alive to see it, but I think Brazil will become a big power in the 21st century. We have everything a people needs to become a big power,” he said.
And with those ambitions comes a flexing of muscles in the international arena said Lula, 63, one of the principal opponents to the West’s increasing pressure on Iran over that country’s nuclear program.
Soon, probably this month, he is to host Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on the latter’s first overseas trip since being declared the winner of disputed June 12 elections.
Lula slammed a renewed push by the United States and European countries for sanctions against Iran over fears its nuclear program was hiding the development of atomic weapon.
“We need to convince them politically. They can’t be backed into a wall,” he said. “This policy of ‘all or nothing’ doesn’t exist.”
Iran had a right to peaceful nuclear energy, he insisted, adding that he believed the US-led criticism of its arch-foe in the Middle East was reminiscent of Washington’s fallacious justification for the war in Iraq.
“Even today, those leaders in favor of the war in Iraq are unable to explain why they invaded if there were no chemical weapons. Well, I am seeing the same sort of things starting to happen over Iran,” he said.
Brazil’s role, he said, is that of “pacifier, of conciliator”—particularly in Latin America.
“I have more meetings with the presidents of Latin America than I do with my own children,” he said, employing one of his ready smiles.
Lula also stomped on any attempt to isolate another US nemesis, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez.
But while he continued to stress that Chavez was the victor of multiple elections, in his interview with AFP Lula said he would never have cracked down on independent media as the Venezuelan leader recently did.
“I wouldn’t do what Chavez did with the media,” Lula said.
The gruff former union leader, who himself received rough treatment in Brazil’s press before becoming president, added however: “I also think the media shouldn’t have done what they did with Chavez for so long.”
Lula also spoke about bridges built with the West, including Brazil’s alliance with France, as evidenced by Lula’s invitation to French President Nicolas Sarkozy to attend Independence Day celebrations in Brasilia next Monday.
“We are determined to build this strategic partnership, to boost France-Brazil ties.”
Brazil already has closed a deal to buy five submarines from France and there is speculation Lula’s government will purchase 36 ultra-modern French fighter jets ahead of rival offers from the United States and Sweden.
Lula declined to say which way that decision would go, but said France’s offer to share all the technology that goes into its Rafale fighters made its bid the most attractive.
“France has shown itself to be the most flexible country in terms of transfer of technology,” he said.
Part of the reason Brazil is so strongly beefing up its military is to defend vast new offshore oil fields discovered over the past two years.
Those subsalt fields—which Lula expects will turn Brazil into one of the top 10 oil-exporting nations in the world—were this week put under the control of the state-run oil group Petrobras, according to a draft legal reform yet to be approved by Brazil’s congress.
Lula said the plan would secure Brazil’s future, and he believed foreign companies would still bring the necessary investment even on the more restrictive terms.
“It’s a big opportunity, and we’re not going to throw money away,” he said.
“It was the right decision to adopt this model.”
Brazil also is going to live up to its environmental responsibilities, the president said.
“We have a moral obligation to reduce Amazon deforestation,” he said.
He added that Brazil’s offer to meet specific reduction targets in greenhouse gas emissions at a UN meeting on climate change in Denmark in December will be balanced against its aim to become an industrial powerhouse.
“Nobody thinks that Brazil should have the same responsibility as Britain, as France or other countries that have been industrialized and emitting greenhouse gases for a century,” he said.
He added: “If these talks are carried out seriously, we are convinced a serious deal is possible.”
Dedef
16/09/2009
http://www.spacewar.com/reports/Rival_bidders_pull_out_all_stops_for_Brazil_fighter_jet_deal_999.html
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Craig Caffrey, an analyst for Jane’s, a highly respected defense information group based in London, said France’s offer “is seen as a huge advantage both economically and politically” by Brazil.
Boeing, in contrast, “have their hands tied by US export regulations and so cannot offer the same level of technology transfer.”
And while Saab could offer good industrial participation and technology, “some of the key components included in the Gripen NG such as the engine and AESA radar are not made by Saab or a Swedish company thereby making full technology transfer impossible.”
The Gripen’s engine is made by US company General Electric, and therefore subject to US export controls, while the advanced active-array, multi-targeting radar is made by Italian firm Selex.
Caffrey said France’s Rafale was “in my opinion probably the best platform” in the Brazilian contest “so the air force is highly unlikely to be against the selection of the aircraft.”
Although it was the most costly of the three jets, with an estimated price tag per unit of 56 million euros (82 million dollars), “if price is taken out of the equation, which the government appears to have done with this announcement, then the Rafale bid becomes stronger,” he said.
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http://www.spacewar.com/reports/US_offers_technology_to_win_Brazil_fighter_deal_officials_999.html
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The Rafale, which has stealth-like technology and cutting-edge cockpit interfaces and threat detection, was seen as Brazil’s favored choice, largely because France was offering full transfer of technology—the key demand in the tender.
Saab, too, has promised to share knowhow with Brazil—even though the Gripen’s engines were US-designed and therefore subject to US foreign military sales authorization.
It was unclear what technology the United States was prepared to share from the F/A-18, which was the oldest model aircraft on offer, having been flying since 1980.
One consideration, both for Brazil and for the United States, was likely to be how the F/A-18 might stack up against Venezuela’s air force should any future confrontation take place.
Venezuela recently purchased 24 Russian and Chinese-developed Su-30MK2s, a modern fighter considered to have superior performance over the US plane.
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http://www.spacewar.com/reports/UAE_F-16_pilots_spar_with_US_top_guns_999.html
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U.A.E. F-16 pilots spar with U.S. top guns
According to Jane’s Defense Weekly, the U.A.E. pilots and ground crews spent two weeks preparing for the exercises at the Arizona Air National Guard’s 162nd Fighter Wing at Tucson International Airport.
by Staff Writers
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UPI) Sep 1, 2009
The elite F-16 pilots of the United Arab Emirates air force are honing their dog-fighting skills with the U.S. Air Force’s top guns in the skies above Nevada as the Arab states of the Gulf build up their military power to confront Iran.
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The main strike capability of Iran’s air force consists of an estimated 43 Soviet-era Sukhoi Su-25K Frogfoots and Su-24MK Fencer Ds as well as 24 French-built Mirage F-1Es.
Many of these are former Iraqi air force jets that were flown to Iran during the 1991 Desert Storm war to prevent their destruction by U.S.-led forces liberating Kuwait. Tehran has refused to return them to Iraq.
Iran also has 25 aging MiG-29A and MiG-29UB Fulcrums, also formerly owned by Iraqi air force, that comprise its main fighter interceptor force.
It still deploys 25 U.S.-built F-14 Tomcats that were acquired during the reign of the shah in the 1970s.
But these are no longer considered to be a match for the cutting-edge F-16E/Fs and French Dassault Aviation Mirage 2000 combat aircraft flown by the U.A.E. air force.
The U.A.E. is also considering the acquisition of a new aerial strike force of as many as 80 Dassault Rafale multirole combat jets that will give it an even greater punch than it has now.
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