Les temps contraires de la politique iranienne des USA

D’une part, on apprend que les USA vont “armer” les pays du Golfe – “armer” un peu plus encore qu’ils ne sont – contre une attaque iranienne toujours possible. Nous vivons en effet depuis plus de 5 ans sous la menace constante d’une attaque iranienne, c'est bien connu, prouvé et documenté. (L’insupportable rengaine du président iranien: «Toutes les options sont sur la table…», signifiant par là qu’outre Israël, il pourrait envisager de rayer de la carte, également, dans la même salve coranique, la Commission européenne et les Etats-Unis d’Amérique.)

L’affaire porte sur une pincée de $milliards de Patriot, dont on connaît l’efficacité, le tout étant bon pour le commerce et le Complexe en général. Le Guardian déplore, ce 1er février 2010, ce qu’il nomme un “retour à Bush”.

«In one of the clearest statements of US intentions towards Iran, the defence secretary, Robert Gates, talked on a visit to Iraq in December about the inherent unpredictability of war. If they had learned anything from the past six years in Iraq, he said, it was that. Mr Gates said that military strikes would only delay Iran's nuclear programme by about “two or three years” and that significant additional sanctions were the best of a series of bad options. If Mr Gates' view still holds, yesterday's reports that the US administration was fast-forwarding deployment of anti-missile defences in at least four Arab countries, and placing ships off the Iranian coast, should be seen as a preparation not for war, but for more sanctions. Unfortunately, any US military buildup in the Persian Gulf is inherently unpredictable. […]

»Mr Obama is signalling that he is about to withdraw the hand he extended, after the offer to enrich uranium outside Iran's borders was rejected. In truth, negotiations were too narrowly focused and given too little time – months, in comparison to the years in which sanctions have operated unsuccessfully. Instead of probing the divisions that exist between pragmatists and ideologues within the ruling elite, Mr Obama may be unintentionally cementing them. He is reverting to a policy that his predecessor, George Bush, followed on Iran, and it is far from clear whether the result will be any different. China and Russia will not follow him down this path.»

…« Instead of probing the divisions that exist between pragmatists and ideologues within the ruling elite, Mr Obama may be unintentionally cementing them»? Le même 1er février 2010, le site WSWS.org publie une analyse qui met en évidence, au travers de l’évolution des principaux dirigeants de l’opposition impliqués dans les événements depuis l’élection présidentielle de juin 2009, un rapprochement de fond de cette opposition avec le régime.

«All three of the principal leaders of Iran’s “Green Revolution” bourgeois opposition have made conciliatory public statements in recent weeks, backing off from their demand for the annulling of the June 2009 presidential election and reaffirming their support for the Islamic Republic. […]

»This past week, Medhi Karroubi, a former speaker of Iran’s parliament, a defeated candidate in the 2005 and 2009 presidential elections, and the third in the troika of Green leaders, issued a series of statements acknowledging Ahmadinejad as Iran’s president and declaring the supreme leader or guardian of the Islamic Republic, Ayatollah Khamanei, the “best person” to solve the current political crisis.

»Karroubi said slogans that called into question Khamanei’s leadership, the post of supreme leader or velayat-e faghih, and other key institutions of the Islamic Republic “are 100 percent wrong.” “I don’t agree with slogans that call for changing power structures.” He also condemned the right-wing, pro-US slogan taken up by opposition demonstrators on several occasions, most notably on Iran’s traditional day of solidarity with the Palestinian people—“Neither Gaza, nor Lebanon. My life is for Iran.” Karroubi, it need be noted, had until last week been the most strident of the three Green leaders.»

dedefensa.org