La Chine et sa “supériorité militaire”, grâce au JSF

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La Chine et sa “supériorité militaire”, grâce au JSF

Le 6 juillet 2010, un article plutôt pincé et d’un scepticisme un peu forcé a été publié sur le site du Wall Street Journal (WSJ) concernant une courte analyse chinoise sur le JSF. L’analyse chinoise, publié en chinois sur le site du Quotidien du Peuple, se réfère aux déclarations (voir sur notre Bloc-Notes, le 1er juillet 2010) où Andrew Krepinevitch affirme que le programme JSF doit être au moins en partie abandonné parce qu’il est dépassé par les progrès militaires chinois.

(L’affirmation selon laquelle le F-35 est opérationnellement complètement dépassé, notamment par les Sukhoï Su-35S que la Chine reçoit de la Russie, est largement confirmée par une longue étude très technique réalisée par Chris Mills, de Air Power Australia, le 5 juillet 2010.)

Selon le WSJ, «An article appearing on Monday on the websites of the state-run People’s Daily as well as its popular tabloid the Global Times describes comments made by one U.S. analyst on future weapons purchases as the all-but-guaranteed stance of the Obama administration. The comments, which first appeared last week on the website of a niche defense publication, suggested the U.S. might rethink its purchase of the long-anticipated F-35 fighter jet due in part to rapid advancements in China’s military.

»Andrew Krepinevich, president of the non-partisan Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, was described as saying plans for the long-anticipated F-35 could diminish as the defense systems of potential U.S. adversaries, such as China, have improved more rapidly than the fighter jet’s development.

»On Monday, the website of the People’s Daily, a mouthpiece for the Communist Party, reported the Obama administration was reconsidering its purchase of the fighter jets as a result of “astonishing progress” by militaries of China and other potential U.S. adversaries.»

Dans DoDBuzz, Colin Clark reprend la nouvelle du WSJ le 7 juillet 2010 et tente de la nuancer décisivement en rappelant ce que Krepinevitch lui avait déclaré à l’occasion de la publication de son rapport, le 29 juin 2010

«Yet, as Krepinevich told our own Colin Clark, a point perhaps China misses, he argues for a cut in the F-35 buy in order to free up money to spend on long-range strike weapons — bombers and missiles — that would be better suited to penetrating Chinese air-defenses.

»So, sure China could take credit for a cut in F-35s, if that happens; but if Krepinevich’s advice was truly followed by the Pentagon, the net result would be a weakening of China’s strategic position.»

(Le 29 juin 2010, Krepinevitch déclarait à DoDBuzz : «And that led him to one crucial resource decision — thus strategic — the U.S. must make. What balance should we have between the F-35 and whatever forms of long-range strike (also known as bombers and missiles) we decide to build? The F-35 buy, he told me after the session broke up, should be pared down so the strike capability can be funded. The Joint Strike Fighter is a relatively short-range aircraft that must rely on hardened bases to protect it since China has fielded capabilities that will allow it to threaten many of our bases in the western Pacific, he said. The long-range strike capability will presumably have longer range and possess greater stealth than the F-35 and thus be better suited to penetrating denied airspaces. He was careful to note that the U.S. must possess a combination of dash (F-35) and persistence (long-range strike) to “manage” China.»)

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