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Je me demande si vous n’êtes pas un peu optimiste dans votre présentation.

Vous citez Monsieur Ivanov. Ce dernier a également déclaré lors de sa conférence de presse à Munich :  “Je suis prudemment optimiste. Attendons de voir. Nous devons être réalistes. Mais il est évident que l’administration Obama veut réellement changer les choses entre nos deux pays et nous sommes prêts à coopérer avec elle.”

Vous critiquez la position du Washington Times, mais elle est partagée aussi par Georges Friedman (que vous lisez aussi). Je cite la conclusion de son article :

“What can’t be achieved is a fundamental transformation of the geopolitical realities of the world. No matter how Obama campaigned, it is clear he knows that. Apart from his preoccupation with economic matters, Obama understands that foreign policy is governed by impersonal forces and is not amenable to rhetoric, although rhetoric might make things somewhat easier. No nation gives up its fundamental interests because someone is willing to talk.

Willingness to talk is important, but what is said is much more important. Obama’s first foray into foreign policy via Biden indicates that, generally speaking, he understands the constraints and pressures that drive American foreign policy, and he understands the limits of presidential power. Atmospherics aside, Biden’s positions — as opposed to his rhetoric — were strikingly similar to Cheney’s foreign policy positions.

We argued long ago that presidents don’t make history, but that history makes presidents. We see Biden’s speech as a classic example of this principle.”