Le triste anniversaire de Maidan

Le triste anniversaire de Maidan

Nous avons passé l’année du premier anniversaire du début des événements (de la crise) d’Ukraine, les 18-20 novembre 2013 (avec le refus de Ianoukovitch des conditions imposées par l’UE pour l’accord en discussion entre l’Ukraine et l’UE). Nombre d’événements ont fait de cette crise un événement majeur, sinon l’événement fondamental de la situation internationale et de la crise d’effondrement du Système. A un des bouts de cette crise, il y a la situation de l’Ukraine elle-même, éventuellement réduite à l’Ukraine-Kiev dans la mesure où existe cette partition de facto avec la partie orientale de la Novorussia. Cette situation est évidemment catastrophique (“What else ?”).

On consultera un article de Russia Insider du 28 novembre 2014, repris de Business New Europe, sur la situation macroéconomique de l’Ukraine : « Ukraine is teetering on the edge of collapse, but the West is “sleepwalking” in its response to the impending crisis, say observers. The West has made a catalogue of errors since Ukraine's fateful decision to turn its back on Russia, to which Moscow responded by launching a proxy war that has made Kyiv's already dire economic situation worse. » Mais il y a surtout un article de ZeroHedge.com du 27 novembre 2014, reprenant Bloomberg.News, qui s’attache aux conditions de vie des Ukrainiens, l’inflation galopante, la pauvreté, la colère, la panique, la menace... Le travail de déstructuration et de dissolution de l’Ukraine accompli par le bloc BAO et ses divers employés faisant fonction de dirigeants à Kiev apparaît, en un ans, absolument extraordinaire.

«With Ukraine, according to President Poroshenko, on the verge of World War III, it appears the people of the divided nation face another all too familiar war... on their living standards. As hyrvnia continues to collapse to record-er lows, Ukraine's Central Bank warns of further stress and FX (think USDollar or EUR) demand because the “population is in panic.” With a 19.8% inflation rate last month and a 48% devaluation in the currency this year, Bloomberg reports the costs of imported goods from gasoline to fruit and from medicine to meat is soaring. One store-owner reflected that she “feels the hryvnia devaluation everywhere,” and another noted “I can't imagine how people survive on a single pension. We can’t even go to the drug store. We try to use herbs instead.” The Central bank expects inflation to keep rising (having previously peaked at 10,256% in 1993 as the Soviet economy was dismantled). “Inflation is the same as the war,” warns one analyst, “it may lead to protests if people blame the authorities for failing to conduct proper policies.”

» As Bloomberg reports, [...] “Valentyna is thankful for the two pensions she and her husband share, even if Ukraine’s inflation shock means they’re no longer enough to buy medicine and meat. ‘We have some potatoes, tomatoes and cucumbers from our dacha,’ said the 72-year-old pensioner as she made her way through the city of Zhytomyr, a two-hour bus ride west of Kiev. ‘I can’t imagine how people survive on a single pension. We can’t even go to the drug store. We try to use herbs instead.’ [...] ‘I watch the dollar rate all the time because for me it’s the best indicator of poverty,’ said the 29-year-old mother of a son in first grade. ‘I buy less sweets and fruit because of the astronomical costs. We used to save some money. Now, we can’t save anything.’”

» It's gonna get worse... “Inflation will probably speed up to 25 percent this year, compared with the 19 percent forecast earlier, central bank Governor Valeriya Gontareva said today.”

» “‘I’m ready to tolerate the current economic situation as long as the war is on,’ said Hanna Hryhoriyeva, 67, a teacher at a culinary college who backed the protests’ anti-corruption message. ‘I won’t go onto the streets tomorrow because of inflation and the devaluation but my patience isn’t infinite.’” [...] “Valya, a pensioner who declined to give her last name, said she’d just bought 2 kilograms (4.4 pounds) of grain that should last a month, along with potatoes and beetroot from the market. While she doesn’t drink alcohol or smoke, she can’t afford the bus to visit relatives’ graves in the Lviv region. ‘Glory to Ukraine?’ said Valya, 76, referring to a slogan of the street uprising. ‘Glory for what? Higher prices? The war? We’re just tolerating the authorities.’” [...] “‘Inflation is the same as the war,’ Valchyshen said. ‘It may lead to protests if people blame the authorities for failing to conduct proper policies.’”»

Mis en ligne le 28 novembre 2014 à 07H56